by Administrator | Oct 10, 2018 | No Spin News
Not much change here, we are still close to the existing cycle high and position to set a new one. This number will have to start moving lower on a consistent basis before we think we have reason to worry about a business cycle peak. Subscribe now!
by Administrator | Oct 3, 2018 | No Spin News
By the thinnest of margins, this series just set a new low for this expansion. And, I also added a column to the table that shows the interval from the last three cycle lows to the next cycle peak, with the date of that cycle peak. Based on the numbers in the table,...
by Administrator | Oct 2, 2018 | No Spin News
The people who are counted here have told the BLS that they are working part-time because they want to. This would include students, and persons who don’t wish to work full time for a variety of personal and/or family reasons. This chart is behaving the way that it...
by Administrator | Oct 1, 2018 | No Spin News
The BLS divides those who work part-time into two categories. Those who have to work part-time are counted here as doing so for economic reasons. Either their employer limits their hours to less than 35 per week, or the only work they could find was part-time. So,...
by Administrator | Sep 28, 2018 | No Spin News
The pattern of uneven upward progress that has been present since the start of the expansion remains in place. The trend is much more important than the month-to-month changes. Subscribe now!
by Administrator | Sep 27, 2018 | No Spin News
While the unemployment rate was unchanged, all of the elements that go into it were greatly changed. And it is only by knowing those details that you can properly interpret this chart. If you want to be able to anticipate what the financial markets are going to do,...
by Administrator | Sep 26, 2018 | No Spin News
Business cycle peaks follow the cresting of this line. So far, there is scant evidence to suggest such a crest is at hand. Subscribe now!
by Administrator | Sep 25, 2018 | No Spin News
This is the chart on wages. The news is still not good. And, if you look at the table, the news is actually a bit bad. We are moving sideways. Which is better than going down. So, to the extent that there is progress on wage income, it is all coming from people...
by Administrator | Sep 24, 2018 | No Spin News
One of the most reliable indicators of our position in the business cycle is the seen here. When we go through 1% (the red line) from above is when we expect to see the next business cycle peak. Subscribe now!
by Administrator | Sep 21, 2018 | No Spin News
Trucking employment turned in its second best month-to-month gain of the year in August. The question now is whether this event is a harbinger of the confirmation of the anecdotal evidence about firms wanting to hire more workers, or whether it is just a one-off. As...
